Read below for the fantasy basketball Forecaster


In weekly transaction leagues, the schedule is one of the most important factors in determining how to fill out your fantasy basketball lineups. All fantasy teams have a hierarchy of player calibers, with a set of “best players” surrounded by a cast of “lesser but still productive players” from which to draw your weekly starting lineup.

All things being equal, a manager would start their best players every week and fill out the rest of their lineup based on things such as matchups. All things, however, aren’t equal.

EDITOR’S PICKS

The schedule changes the bottom line, because teams can play a different number of games, against a different caliber of opponents, with different breakdowns of home vs. road, back-to-backs, rest nights, etc. All of these things matter, and as I’ve seen this season, they often matter more than a player’s caliber.

For example, would you rather get two games of a great player at 35 minutes per night against tough competition, or four games of a lesser player at 30 minutes per night against high-paced, weak competition? When looking at it quantitatively, it’s surprising (to me) how often the correct answer is actually the lesser player — yes, based on schedules, sometimes even star players should sit for a week.

Thus, below, we have the Forecaster, which provides a scheduling and matchup tool to help you make better-informed lineup decisions for the upcoming week.

We also take your weekly prep to another level with my weekly projection rankings. Here, you’ll find my top-150 weekly rankings, based on ESPN standard points-league scoring, so you can compare players to determine which players to start, sit, stream or drop for the week ahead. I also provide several typical starters whom you might want to sit, and several bench/free agents whom you might want to stream.

Without further ado, let’s check out the Forecaster.

Matchup ratings are based upon a scale from 1 (poor matchup) to 10 (excellent matchup). These are calculated using a formula that evaluates the team’s season-to-date and past-10-games statistics, opponents’ numbers in those categories and performance in home/road games depending on where the game is to be played. The column to the left lists the team’s total number of games scheduled, as well as home games, and lists the overall rating from 1 to 10 for that team’s weekly schedule.

Fantasy Basketball Forecaster: Feb. 11-17

TEAMGAMESRATINGMON
2/11
TUE
2/12
WED
2/13
THU
2/14
FRI
2/15
SAT
2/16
SUN
2/17
2 total
2 home
6OFFLAL6OFFNY5OFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
4OFF@PHI3DET5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
0 home
4@TOR3OFF@CLE5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
0 home
6@IND4OFFOFF@ORL6OFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
5MIL4OFFMEM5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
7NY6OFFBKN8OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
3@HOU1OFFMIA2OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
8MIA6OFFSAC9OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
4WSH5OFF@BOS1OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
7OFFUTA7@POR7OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
8DAL9OFF@MIN7OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
7CHA6OFFMIL7OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
8@MIN6OFFPHX10OFFOFFOFFOFF
1 total
0 home
3OFF@ATL9OFFOFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
3OFFSA1@CHI4OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
0 home
5@DEN5OFF@DAL5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
0 home
7@CHI8OFF@IND5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
7LAC9OFFHOU6OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
8OFFORL10OFFOKC7OFFOFFOFF
3 total
1 home
10@CLE5OFFPHI4@ATL6OFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
7POR6OFFOFF@NO7OFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
5OFF@NO4OFFCHA4OFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
7OFFBOS6@NY8OFFOFFOFFOFF
1 total
0 home
2OFFOFF@LAC5OFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
1 home
5@OKC4OFFGS6OFFOFFOFFOFF
1 total
0 home
1OFFOFF@DEN3OFFOFFOFFOFF
1 total
0 home
2OFF@MEM5OFFOFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
2 home
9BKN10OFFWSH8OFFOFFOFFOFF
1 total
0 home
2OFF@GS5OFFOFFOFFOFFOFF
2 total
0 home
4@DET4OFF@TOR3OFFOFFOFFOFF

Fantasy Basketball Forecaster: Feb. 18-24

TEAMGAMESRATINGMON
2/18
TUE
2/19
WED
2/20
THU
2/21
FRI
2/22
SAT
2/23
SUN
2/24
2 total
2 home
6OFFOFFOFFOFFDET4PHX8OFF
2 total
0 home
5OFFOFFOFF@MIL4OFF@CHI6OFF
2 total
1 home
3OFFOFFOFFPOR2OFF@CHA4OFF
2 total
2 home
7OFFOFFOFFOFFWSH6BKN7OFF
2 total
1 home
3OFFOFFOFFOFF@ORL5BOS2OFF
2 total
2 home
9OFFOFFOFFPHX9OFFMEM7OFF
2 total
1 home
2OFFOFFOFFOFFDEN4@UTA1OFF
2 total
1 home
9OFFOFFOFFOFF@DAL7OFFLAC9
2 total
0 home
4OFFOFFOFFOFF@ATL6@MIA2OFF
2 total
2 home
10OFFOFFOFFSAC10OFFHOU8OFF
2 total
0 home
8OFFOFFOFF@LAL8OFF@GS6OFF
2 total
1 home
6OFFOFFOFFOFFNO7@WSH5OFF
2 total
0 home
7OFFOFFOFFOFF@MEM7OFF@DEN6
2 total
1 home
6OFFOFFOFFHOU5OFF@NO7OFF
2 total
1 home
4OFFOFFOFFOFFLAC5@CLE4OFF
2 total
1 home
4OFFOFFOFF@PHI3OFFDET5OFF
2 total
2 home
4OFFOFFOFFBOS3OFFMIN6OFF
2 total
0 home
6OFFOFFOFFOFF@NY6@MIL6OFF
2 total
1 home
8OFFOFFOFFOFF@IND6LAL9OFF
2 total
2 home
4OFFOFFOFFOFFMIN5OFFSA3
2 total
2 home
7OFFOFFOFFOFFUTA5SAC8OFF
2 total
1 home
3OFFOFFOFFOFFCHI5OFF@TOR2
2 total
2 home
7OFFOFFOFFMIA7OFFPOR6OFF
2 total
0 home
5OFFOFFOFF@CLE5OFF@ATL6OFF
2 total
0 home
4OFFOFFOFF@BKN6OFF@PHI3OFF
2 total
0 home
1OFFOFFOFF@GS2OFF@OKC2OFF
2 total
0 home
3OFFOFFOFFOFF@TOR2OFF@NY4
2 total
2 home
7OFFOFFOFFOFFSA5OFFORL9
2 total
1 home
6OFFOFFOFFOFF@OKC5DAL7OFF
2 total
1 home
5OFFOFFOFFOFF@CHA5IND6OFF

The week ahead

Because this is All-Star week, standard ESPN leagues with weekly transactions include this and next week together as one long game session. So, for this session, we have provided a Forecaster chart for this week and one for next week.

When looking at the next two weeks combined, 24 of the 30 teams will play four games. One team plays five games and five teams play only three times.

The New York Knicks is the team that plays five times, with a perfect 10 for the first week but a more pedestrian 4 for Week 2. The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors had the highest composite Forecast score at 8.5, while the Toronto Raptors, New Orleans Pelicans, Houston Rocketsand Cleveland Cavaliers notched 8s with all six squads playing four games.

On the other side of the coin, the Sacramento Kings, Utah Jazz, Los Angeles Lakers, San Antonio Spurs and Phoenix Suns play only three games during this extended session. The Lakers have the highest composite score of this group at 4.5, while the Kings have the lowest score at 1. All are on the low end of the spectrum.

Check out my weekly player rankings to see my take on which players may be worth starting or sitting during this two-week session due to the combination of the schedule and injuries.

Advertisements